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Calculated Terror - Mannes & Subrahmanian in Foreign Policy

17 hours ago ago from TheTerrorWonk Plus

Foreign Policy has just published an article I co-wrote with my boss VS Subrahmanian discussing our work modeling the behavior of terrorist organizations. This piece focuses on our results on Hezbollah, which provide a credible explanation to Hezbollah's decision to keep the Israeli-Lebanese border quiet since the end of the 2006 war. For more on our work, visit the website of my employer the Laboratory for Computational Cultural Dynamics . ...

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Hezbollah's behavior': Subject of expansive deep' studies to predict conflict!

14 hours ago ago from Arab News Blog

In FP/ Argument/ here The Blue Line separating Israel from Lebanon is one of the most volatile borders in the world. But predicting when this area, and other tense regions throughout the world, will erupt into violence often appears to be little more than guesswork. (but now, thanks to the rubbish below, it CONTINUES to be guesswork!) How can policymakers overcome their own biases and limited information to anticipate if an ...

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The Other Face of Modern Warfare: The U.K. Battlefront in the Israel-Palestine War

17 hours ago ago from Law at the End of the Day

The Americans are busy justifying military campaigns. Barack H. Obama, Remarks by the President at the Acceptance of the Nobel Peace Prize , Oslo City Hall, Oslo, Norway, Dec. 10, 2009 We must begin by acknowledging the hard truth: We will not eradicate violent conflict in our lifetimes. There will be times when nations -- acting individually or in concert -- will find the use of force not only necessary but morally justified. . . . I ...

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Calculating terror

12 hours ago ago from CentrePoint News

By Aaron Mannes and V. S. Subrahmanian On Oct. 27, a Katyusha rocket was fired from Lebanon and struck down in an open area outside the northern Israeli town of Kiryat Shmone. This was the ninth such rocket strike since the end of the 2006 war between Israel and Hezbollah. No group claimed responsibility for the attack, but smaller Palestinian groups hoping to spark another round of fighting are the most likely suspect. Hezbollah, ...

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LEBANON: Hizbullah Fortifies Frontier Against Israel

23 hours ago ago from Uprooted Palestinians

Link By Mona Alami NABATIYEH, Dec 14 (IPS) - In the mountains towering above this southern city, Hizbullah (Party of God) is building a new line of defence on lands where a fierce war was once fought between the Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) and Israel. An asphalt road rising up from the sea seems to carve up the southern chain of mountains of Jabal Safi. Away from the southern city of Nabatiyeh and into the green hills of ...

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Israel Warns Britain On War Crimes Warrant : NPR

22 hours ago ago from NPR

Search hear continuous streams 24-Hour Program Stream NPR News and Shows hear the latest news [4 min 45 sec] Latest NPR Newscast Israel Warns Britain On War Crimes Warrant by The Associated Press Enlarge Associated Press FILE - In this Dec. 31, 2008 file photo, then Israeli Foreign Minister ...

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Joseph A. Palermo: Obama Speaks (Some) Truth From Power

23 hours ago ago from Huffington Post

President Barack Obama's Nobel lecture last Thursday in Oslo shows he understands that "peace is not merely the absence of visible conflict." "Only a just peace based upon the inherent rights and dignity of every individual can truly be lasting," he said. Hearing a president say this is mind blowing and illustrates the side of Obama we should seek to nurture. But the President's statement about the expansive nature of peace raises the ...

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John Feffer: Nobel Speech: Exceptional or Exceptionalism?

17 hours ago ago from Huffington Post

Back in 2003, when I put together the collection of essays Power Trip on the emerging foreign policy of the Bush administration, the big debate was over continuity versus change. Was the aggressive unilateralism of George W. Bush and his cohort a wholly new creation? Or was it simply business as usual for the most powerful country in the world? While acknowledging the sharp right-turn executed by the Bush administration, I emphasized the ...

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